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The Absolutely Tech Stock Bubble
The question is, is there an absolutely tech stock bubble, and how long will we have to wait to find out?
The Stock Market
Yet the more money that gets locked into buying of index funds, the less there is left to support the trading of stocks in the open stock market.
Behavioral Investing
Behavioral investing is a complicated process. Investing does require some study of company’s history and financial statements.
Trumped
Trump attitude: “we can hurt you more than you can hurt us”, might be right but is not the best way to deal with a country who will be big customer.
Warren Buffett vs Wall Street
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger disagree with MPT. Charlie summed up Buffett’s response by declaring, “Modern Portfolio Theory is twaddle”.
Globalism, 1982-2000 Bull Market
With this strong demographic background, Corporate Earnings can repeat the rate of growth we saw from globalism from 1995 to 2000.
Volatility Underlying Calm Market
3td Quarter 2017 Letter: Volatility Underlying a Calm Market, Middle Class Growth 2015-2030, Brookings Institution’s Estimates, LKQ Corporation.
What’s new with CB&I?
Over the last six months anticipating an ambiguous or unfavorable Delaware Supreme Court ruling, CB&I’s share price plummeted more than 60%.
Passive Investing
The function of the stock market should be to allocate capital to companies that can use it effectively, passive investing is hindering this function.
Economic Cycles
The best investment philosophy understands the cyclical nature of our economy, using these economic cycles rather than getting used by them.
Current Stock Market 2017 Comment
The FED indicates it might raise interest rates three time and stock market 2017 gets upset. Stock market 2017 will decline, from what point?
Global Plastics Summit Highlights
The Global Plastics Summit was produced by IHS in Chicago. The petrochemical industry is experiencing new life thanks to the shale revolution.
Value Investing vs Index Investing
The task of the value investing is to make as intelligent an estimate as possible of company's potential future cash flows.
How to Play an Index Bubble
With the SP trading at 17.2 times forward earning and the CAPE over 27 times earnings the market is clearly index bubble by historical standards.
Successful Investors
Three synchronized elements to form the foundation of successful investors: time, technique, temperment.
Is the Market Overvalued?
The longer this stability lasts, the lower the quality of new loans and make the market overvalued as a result of myopic institutional memory.
Operating Earnings
Operating earnings are the way Buffett prefers compare the growth within the various segments of the company because GAAP reported earnings are distorted.
Article by investment manager in Bay Hill Living
Article investment manager Richard Losch about building a foundation in investment in "Bay Hill Living" magazine.
Building Foundation
In this way corrections building foundation for the next leg of a long bull market. Will discuss about building foundation.
3G Culture - Dream Big
Dream Big is a story of the 3G culture partners from their days a Garantia Bank in the 1970’s up though the Imbev’s purchase of Anheuser-Busch.
Myopic Loss Aversion
The investor’s goal should be to buy low and sell high, but myopic loss aversion causes us to do the opposite, remember about this.
CBI Nuclear Energy
The CBI's nuclear energy business appears to have generated more problems than it is worth - the nuclear energy reactors in the US.
St Joe Company
The St Joe Company announced that long term master plan for Bay and Walton Counties was approved by Bay, Walton Counties, state Florida.
What’s in a Word? Plastics.
Plastics can be made in countries where crude oil is available, the production cost when using naphtha is higher than when starting with ethane.
Are Bonds Safer Than Stocks?
Importantly, even with this dramatic interest rate decline, bonds still lagged stocks in preserving and growing investors’ purchasing power.
Chicago Bridge and Iron
Berkshire Hathaway is the largest shareholder of Chicago Bridge and Iron, currently holding 9.8% of the company’s outstanding stock.
CAMEX 2014
CAMEX 2014 at the Orlando, this is a new trade show put on by the Composite Industry. The impression that everything made out of plastics.
Global Economy October 2014
The world economy is weak. China growth is down, Russian economy is weak, the US recovery has been the product of of the Federal Reserve.
Fluor Corporation
Fluor corporation is the largest construction and engineering company in the United States. It has offices in 25 countries.
Interesting Quotes from Daily Journal Annual Meeting
Interesting and Intriguing Quotes from Daily Journal Annual Meeting 2014 from Charlie Munger.
The Daily Journal Annual Meeting
The Daily Journal Annual Meeting. Charlie Munger answer questions from the audience, expound on his philosophy of the stock market.
Albemarle Corporation
Albemarle Corporation is a developer, manufacturer and marketer of specialty chemicals. Company has a long history of steady earnings growth.
Triumph Group
Triumph Group started out as an MRO in 1994, but since then has expanded to a much broader footprint in Aerospace through acquisitions.
The American Energy Revolution
The existing assumptions that have governed the business are beginning to change. We are see the potential of deficit energy - oil and gas.
Singapore
Singapore is an important location for companies doing MRO business in Asia. Has government that create a favorable business climate.
St Joe Company Update
St Joe Company has announced the sale its land holdings in the Florida Panhandle. The sale is for 387,000 acres for $565 million.
Hedge Fund Managers
The new book "Hedge Fund Market Wizards" is series of interviews with twelve hedge fund managers. All have in common - is a great record.
Triumph Group Inc.
Triumph Group Inc. is a federation of highly specialized suppliers to the aerospace industry. In the last 15 years has increased its annual revenue.
Bitter Brew
I recommend "Bitter Brew" by W. Knoedelseder, and "Dethroning the King" by J. MacIntosh to anyone with an interest in investment business.
An Antifragile Portfolio
Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s "Antifragile" is an important work. This book a must read for anyone with skin in this game of investing.
Leucadia National Corporation
Leucadia National Corporation and Jefferies Group, Inc. announced that the companies have approved an all stock merger agreement.
This Time it is Different
The book “This Time it is Different”, contains a huge database of 800 years of country defaults, banking crises, and currency debasements.
Successful traders psychology
An efficient market should reflect growth in earnings, the actual market does nothing of the kind, but a good deal of successful traders psychology.
St Joe Company
The St Joe Company has a long history in Florida. It was started in the early 1930’s to benefit from the havoc created by the great depression.
Learning from Pain
Free markets generate cycles, and the down cycles bring pain and suffering. Pain is an important part of the corrective process.
Long Cycles - Part II
The long cycles bring into question the efficiency and rationality of traded asset prices; there is no relationship between long cycles and profits.
Long Cycle
We have a bull long cycle where PE ratios expand till they grow bubbles, and a bear long cycle where PEs shrink down to single digits.
Nasty Month for Market
For the nasty month of August, the S&P 500 average was down 5.7%, and the NASDAQ was down 6.4%.
Make a Buck with Fortescue Metals Group
Fortescue Metals Group raised its estimate of liabilities under the Leucadia note to $4 billion ensuring at least a return of 3100% on note.
Berkshire Hathaway Look Through Earnings
This is a table of Berkshire Hathaway Look Through Earnings. The total was $1,680 per “A” share for 2010 that is up from 49% in 2009.
St Joe Company Inc
This story begins last October when David Einhorn recommended the short of St Joe Company at the Value Investing Congress in New York.
Successful Investment Management
What are the skills that will enable the investor or successful investment management to outperform the market?
A Look Into Latin American Market
Latin American market outperformed important emerging market indexes during the last 10 and 15 years. Stock picking will have an important role.
The Mother of all Quarters
Whitney Tilson says that Berkshire Hathaway’s fourth quarter could be "the mother of all quarters". He offers no estimate of 4th quarter Berkshire.
2010 Investment year results
2010 Investment year results: the average annual return for Losch Management Company taxable accounts was a little less than 22%.
Fault Lines
“Fault Lines” by Raghuram Rajan is an important book and it adds a good deal to our understanding of the causes of the “Great Recession”.
US Market 2010
The chart shows the US market has been getting cheaper since 2002, and that the emerging markets now have about the same PE as US market.
Berkshire Hathaway Third Quarter 2010
The Berkshire Hathaway Third Quarter 2010 will just about reverse the loss shown in the 2 Quarter, the 3 Quarter will show a $2 billion dollar gain.
The Stock Market 2010
The consensus seems to be that the stock market 2010 is floundering, even after flatlining for a decade because the economy is in the doldrums.
Berkshire Hathaway Second Quarter 2010
Berkshire Hathaway Second Quarter 2010 Net Earnings were $1.968 billion. For six months, earnings were $5.601 billion up from $1.761 billion.
Berkshire Hathaway Performance
Will Goldman Sachs return to the glory of its past, or its business model been blown, what will be the impact on Berkshire Hathaway performance?
Long Term Greedy
These are a few of the things which could be helpful to future investors who are long term greedy. As for my opinion I'm with Charlie Munger.
Goldman Sachs
Michael Lewis thinks that Goldman Sachs should be broken up and that it’s high risk businesses sold to hedge funds.
Berkadia and Leucadia
Berkadia, a joint venture between Berkshire and the Leucadia, acquired the commercial mortgage origination and servicing business of Capmark.
USG corporation
USG Corporation is the largest producer of wallboard used in residential and commercial construction. In 2006 the stock traded as high as $120.
Berkshire Hathaway 2009 2010
Berkshire Hathaway 2009 2010 "B" shares were up 2%, after split 50 for 1 and the stock was up 16.3%. Today BRK offers a better risk, return combination.
Why Capitalism Works
The title of the essay would be “Why Capitalism Works”, because the business cycle, and the hard lessons, are what make capitalism work.
The Lords of Finance
Book of the year “Lords of Finance” offers a perspective that is new and many ways quite different than most of what has been written previously.
The $44 Billion Dollar Train Set
The issuance of new stock to billion dollar train shareholders, if they all take “B” shares (and they won’t), would add another 123,000,000 shares.
Berkshire Hathaway 3rd Quarter 2009
Ravi Nagarajan estimates Berkshire Hathaway 3rd quarter 2009 net earnings from operations will be between $1.7 billion and 2.1 billion.
Career Risk for Investment Manager
Career risk for investment manager means that managers are pressured by what their clients think or by what they believe their clients think.
Berkshire Hathaway financial statements
Berkshire Hathaway financial statements: equity purchases and sales, earnings from operations and capital gains, acquisitions.
Berkshire Hathaway Preferred Stock
The table lists The Berkshire Hathaway Preferred Stock Holdings. This list does not include any of convertible Berkshire Hathaway preferred stock.
Moral Hazard
The unintended consequence of this kind of intervention is what call a moral hazard. Understand the moral hazard the study of the LTCM bailout.
Credit Default Swap
Some people have even suggested a rule that would require a buyer of a credit default swap to show a legitimate insurable interest.
The Shadow Banking System
Shadow Banking System includes hedge funds, private equity, investment vehicles; depending on whose definition you accept investment banks.
Learning Things the Hard Way
The miracle of Capitalism is that it works at all. Its main virtue, we have been told, is that it is better than the alternatives. To the extent that it does work it is because of its ability to adapt and change, whereas competing ideologies are so dependent on dogma that they become fossilized shortly after conception. Important as this ability to chance is, it does not come easy. Capitalism is no pushover; it is more like a very stubborn mule, so for progress to continue the occasional application of a very large 2x4 is necessary.
Our C-System
While the X-system was necessary for the survival of our ancestors, the C-system is much more useful when making investment decisions.
2008 Investment results
While Berkshire Hathaway earnings will suffer in the fourth quarter of 2008 investment results, 2009 could be a very different story.
Investment Risk
So as panic grips the market place we are getting paid a lot more to take on investment risk at a time when the actual risk that we face is lower.
Bear Markets
Three more bear markets to come but in each case the low in the market was higher than the previous, and each high was above the one.
Generational Events
Currently there has been a lot of talk in the media referring to the current market gymnastics as a generational events.
Orange sheets - Money is doing better
The orange sheets in your packet show the performance of your portfolio, the double digit gains have brought our portfolios back close to their all time highs.
Inflation Not The Problem
I wrote about the possibility that we are facing a prolonged deep world wide recession. Since then I have run across the article "Inflation Not The Problem".
Tipping Point
The inflation bulls tipping point to Money supply growth around the world as evidence inflation will continue. Buffett just ignores the tipping point.
Long Term Capital Management
If the Long Term Capital Management positions had returned to the prices prior to the crisis profit could have amounted to as much as $4 billion.
Financial Insurance
The financial insurance Berkshire Hathaway is of two basic types, credit default swaps and long term equity put options on major stock indexes.
Western Refining Inc
Western Refining Inc is an independent crude oil refiner and marketer of refined products. It also operates service stations, convenience stores.
Berkshire Hathaway Year To Date
In the year to date, Berkshire Hathaway has continued to power our portfolios to a strong level of out-performance. Our result up 2.0% compared the S&P 500.
Berkshire Hathaway Cash Flow
The Berkshire Hathaway cash flow from this float would have paid for all of the company’s cash business acquisitions with $18 billion left over.
2007 investment results
2007 investment results: Losch Management's accounts with over $1 million showed a gain of 19.92%, less than $1 million gained - 23.15%.
Investment results 4th Quarter 2007
Investment results 4th Quarter 2007 was another good month with Losch Management Company's accounts up 3% – 4% while the S&P 500 was off 4.4%.
Greenspan on Inflation
He optimistic about the future of the American economy. Still, Greenspan on inflation in this country and the rest of the world is anything but rosy.
Berkshire Hathaway Third Quarter 2007
Berkshire Hathaway Third Quarter 2007: company filed seven separate disclosures of sales of PetroChina H Shares during the this quarter.
Berkshire Hathaway Operating income 2007
Berkshire Hathaway operating income is sometimes a better indication of value, than PE, because it is not as affected by items and other games.
Berkshire Hathaway Hedge Fund
We have such a large position in Berkshire is for protection in a down market so for the moment Berkshire Hathaway hedge fund is working.
Leveraged Buyouts
The return to normal profit levels will bring collateral damage to the leveraged buyouts, and you don't want to think about will happen if recession.
Stability Unstable
"Stability unstable" this economic paradox exists, because long periods of stability lure investors, bankers into taking on progressively more risk.
Weak Dollar
In world with a weak dollar, mediocre domestic growth and a strong international economy, this easily outperform the average domestic portfolio.
Berkshire Hathaway Chairman’s Letter
Berkshire Hathaway Chairman’s Letter is enclosed. Berkshire Hathaway’s earnings were spectacular - the earnings actually came in at $3.6 billion.
Steel Dynamics
Steel Dynamics is an eleven year old company that claims to have the most modern steel operation in the United States.
Breakwater Resources
Breakwater Resources trailing PE is 4.4; Breakwater Resources has 71.6 million in cash, short term investments, and 1.1 million in long term debt.
2006 Investment year results
2006 Investment year results: average account was up 16.9%, that 3% better the Wilshire 5000 index and 1.3% better than the S&P 500 index.
New Investment Stocks
New investment stocks that will benefit from weakness in the dollar; they are basic materials stocks; or they are manufacture things in the US.
Equitas
Helping to push Berkshire Hathaway’s stock was the recent announcement of a $15 billion deal with Equitas a trust formed by Lloyds of London.
Berkshire Hathaway Third Quarter 2006
The most interesting thing about Berkshire Hathaway Third Quarter 2006 earnings will be the underwriting gain of its insurance companies.
Hurricane Synergy
This I suspect is part of what we will call Buffett's hurricane synergy, the idea that if Berkshire Hathaway can buy enough companies.
Berkshire Hathaway Second Quarter 2006
The most interesting thing about the Berkshire Hathaway second quarter 2006 report was that there were practically no lumps.
Fat Pitch
It would seem like this would be a market Buffett would love. It looks like a big high floater hung out over the center of the plate - a fat pitch.
Perfectly Obvious
“Does anyone think that Buffett will blow the job of passing that faith on?” What is perfectly obvious to Charlie is not perfectly obvious to everyone.
Berkshire Hathaway Growth Rate
Berkshire Hathaway Growth Rate must have been 10% to 12% since 2000; otherwise, Berkshire Hathaway would have been buying back stock.
Berkshire Hathaway First Quarter 2006
Without Wilma, Berkshire Hathaway first quarter 2006 would have had an underwriting gain of $1.180 billion in the fourth quarter.
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report 2006
The Berkshire Hathaway annual report 2006 lists equity positions of $46.721 billion, whereas the total listed on the last 13F was $42.664 billion.
Inflation Is
Currently, we have the better of two worlds: low-interest rates and a measured rate of inflation is less than the real rate. Inflation helps the debtor.
2005 Investment year results
2005 Investment year results: this year was a pretty dull year for the market as a whole. The composite of Losch Management accounts up 2.18%.
Exogenous Events
Bill Seidman on CNBC was asked how the market was going to do next year he replied that baring any exogenous events it will probably do alright.
The Easy Money
The problem is that prolonged easy money has conditioned financial institutions globally to price their financial contracts with risk premiums.
Look-Through Earnings
Look-through earnings are helpful but they still do not give anything close to a definitive window into Berkshire Hathaway's intrinsic value.
High-Risk Mortgages
The option ARM high-risk mortgages allow the borrowers to make minimum payments that may result in negative amortization.
Unintended Consequences
What chance did the shareholders, investors, or analysts have of being able to predict the impending disaster and its unintended consequences?
Rydex Ursa Fund
Rydex Ursa fund tracks the SP 500 index in reverse. In other words if the SP goes Down 1% in a given day the Rydex Usra fund will go up by 1%.
Warren Buffett Premium
We have been hearing about Warren Buffett premium and the assumption has always been that there will be stock decline when he leaves.
Private Equity
The private equity is primarily institutional money, pension plans, education institutions such as Harvard or Oxford, and some ultra rich individuals.
Latticework Mental Models
Charlie Munger shows ideas from mathematics, statistics, psychology, economics to building a latticework mental models to be used in investing.
Buffett's Lackluster Performance
On page 17 of the chairman's letter is a table that makes me wonder about Warren Buffett's complaints about his own "lackluster performance".
2004 Investment year results
2004 investment year results: composite return for accounts was 7.1% on a size-weighted basis and 9.1% when all accounts are weighted equally.
Professor Smith's Second Bubble
After a bubble appeared in a trading series there would be a correction and then after the first correction, the bubble would usually reappear. The bubble starts to re-inflate, but this time the participants, burned by their previous experience are more cautious and the values do not become as extreme.
Hedging Currency Disaster
More remarkable is that hedging currency disaster is a large macro bet: purchasing S&P 500 puts, junk bonds purchases, and fixed income sales.
Risk Assessment
The more accepted Modern Portfolio Theory teaches that risk assessment of any common stock investment is a function of the stock's volatility.
Too Many Bears
The excesses of our recent tech bubble were so extreme that one three-year bear market is simply not enough to cleanse Mr. Market's Soul of his predilection to party on.
The Chinese Century?
Jim Rogers says, "The Nineteenth century was the British Century, the Twentieth Century was the American Century, and the twenty first century will be the Chinese Century".
Patterned Irrationality
The more you hear people pushing value investing, the more difficult it will become to make money as a value investor. For me, this means it is time to look for patterned irrationality.
Timber
Total yield on timber today is — and always has been — about 6%, the yield on stocks is down from 4.5% to around 1.2% today. Timber is a good weak-dollar play.
Costco's Cash
A check of Costco's balance sheet at the end of the 2nd quarter of 2004 shows that the retailer is accumulating cash at a rapid rate. Interestingly enough they are accumulation cash faster that they are earning it.
Physics Envy by Charlie Munger
In October of 2003 Charlie Munger gave a lecture to the economics students and describe one of the problems was based on what he called "Physics Envy".
Asset Allocation Berkshire Hathaway
Asset Allocation Berkshire Hathaway tables tells us better than mere words what is going on in Warren Buffett's mind. We see move away from the equity market.
The Balance of Payments
The trade deficit exists because of the power of the American consumer, and while it is likely that currency markets will remain volatile, and may even perhaps get violently more so in the near term, the underlying factors that are the cause of this overvaluation of the dollar are not likely to change in our lifetime.
2003 Investment year results
2003 Investment year results: a composite of all Losch Management Company accounts was up 23.7% versus 25.3% for the Dow and 26.3% for the S&P 500.
Hedge Funds
Money (according to the Grant letter) has been pouring into hedge funds that use various strategies to speculate in convertible and junk debt.
The trade deficit is not debt
My view that trade deficit is more a refection of the worlds desire to hold dollars than it is anything else and the US trade deficit not a form of debt.
Secular Bear Market
A series of cyclical bear markets and cyclical bull markets does appear likely within the secular bear market mega trend that started in early 2000.
Which Index Funds?
This list of index funds is very limited, but you get the idea. There are hundreds (maybe thousands) of index funds and they are all basically sector funds.
A Different Drummer
The irony in problems that are causing so much grief for mutual fund investors provide an opportunity to those that are willing to follow a different drummer.
Costco's Float
For instance, the Costco's companies total reported earnings for the period was $481.5 million; this is about the same as the net increase in cash as shown on the Balance Sheet ($483.9 million). Total cash on hand at the end of the period was $1.289 billion or about the same as the companies total debt level.
The Power of Float
Warren Buffett believes that un-taxed float is better than after tax earnings, and so is willing to forgo the pleasure of an over priced stock.
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2003
Here are some links to very good notes from the May 3, Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2003.
Psychology of Human Misjudgment
I think Charlie Munger thinks of his specialty as the Psychology of Human Misjudgment, and this error, comes from worrying about the fads and social pressures.
Sitting on the Sidelines
However, we see a very high probability of at least 10% pretax returns (which translate to 6% to 7% after corporate tax), we will sitting on the sidelines.
Berkshire Hathaway intrinsic value
Buffett only buys with a margin of safety we know that estimate of Berkshire Hathaway intrinsic value at the time was substantially in excess of the $45,000.
2002 Investment year results
2002 investment year results showed that Losch Management Company's outperformed the SP 500 buy a 82.7% since the bear market emerged in March of 2000.
Insurance company Moats
Warren Buffett’s Management style is firmly grounded in things like large margins of safety, and the acceptance of short term pain in exchange of long term gain. For insurance companies this is a very different management imperative that GE’s belief that the road to heaven is paved with smooth and ascending earnings reports.
Bond Bubble
About bubbles, the money supply, shorting Treasury Bonds, and the direction of the economy for the rest of 2002. "So is flight to fixed income a rational refection of the economic conditions we can expect in the near future, or is it just Mr. Market scared to death by what he sees in the rear view mirror."
Berkshire Hathaway Cash Flow 2002
To decide if all or a portion of this float should be added to Berkshire Hathaway Cash Flow 2002 when trying to arrive at a figure for intrinsic value.
Behavioral Economics
Beyond what Behavioral Economics tells us about the stock market it may have some interesting things to say about macro economics in general and FED policy.
The Bear Market 2002
Over the course of this bear market, all you had to do, was to be willing to move in the opposite direction of the big money, and listen to Warren and Charlie.
Greenspan Put
The "Greenspan Put" was an instrument that gave a huge boost to our recent bubble. It was an implied promise that Greenspan would intervene to save the market.
Second Quarter Cash Flow at Berkshire Hathaway
What we can see in second quarter cash flow at Berkshire Hathaway, if the first quarter total represents more one half of last years cash flow ($6.5 billion)?
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2002
Links to the best Internet postings of Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2002, notes and pictures from Omaha.
Red Wire - Green Wire
Warren Bufffett was born with his green wire came connected to a red wire. All people, are born with their emotional green wire attached to another green wire.
Stupid FED Tricks
I think that from now on the FED will have to broaden its mission from controlling prices of goods and services, to include the targeting of equity bubbles.
The Bottom Line
Market conditions are better now, than when Gen Re was bringing that 22% of the premiums down to the bottom line, Warren Buffett expects this kind of return.
2001 Investment year results
In terms of relative performance 2001 Investment year results is one the best investment results Losch Management Company have had. Portfolios was 16.17%.
Don’t Fight the FED
For fifty years the one rule that has always worked is "Don’t Fight The FED". Now there is talk that "Monetary policy does not work anymore".
Buy and Hold? - It all Depends
Buy and hold was an excellent way to burn money. With new bull market, new leadership would emerge; the stuff bought in the last cycle would never come back.
Ben Laden and Berkshire Hathaway
What happens to the intrinsic value of an insurance company when it has to pay 2.2 billion in claims?
The Dinosaurs Dance
This article talks more about moats. Deswell Industries is a company incorporated in the British Virgin Islands with operating subsidiaries headquartered in Hong Kong and all its production facilities located in mainland China.
Costco Moat
In other words Costco can show the same profit on 10.4% markup as Dillard's can on a mark up of 32.3%. For a watch that manufactures sells for $100. Dillard's would have to sell it for $132.30 to make the same profit that Costco would make by selling the same piece for $110.40 (this percentage is actually based on a markdown not a markup so the real prices would be higher, but you get the idea.) Wal-Mart is bringing 1.5% more down to the bottom line so they would price the watch at $124.5 ($123 + $1.50). Low margins and fast turn over can help to create a respectable moat for a retail powerhouse.
Bubble Watching
Big Al won a long and valiant struggle by successfully puncturing bubble number one, but is he now pumping like crazy on start of bubble number two?
Sit on your Ass investing
Charlie Munger introduced the concept of "Sit on your ass investing" at the Berkshire Hathaway Annual meeting. This is a new investment theory.
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2001
Attached enclosing summaries of the question and answer session at the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting 2001 on Saturday April 28.
Carnival Cruise Lines
Unique advantages of Carnival Cruise Lines - company has 44 ships in operation and 16 more on order for delivery over the next five years.
450000 Square Ft Furniture Store
What is one furniture store more or less, to a company the size of Berkshire Hathaway. Maybe, but this is 450000 Square Ft Furniture Store - No ordinary store.
Lunch Money Indicators - Annual report
There is a good place to look for Lunch Money indicators - annual report. Anyway, I said that what got me started on this, was the Costco annual report.
Other People's Money
Expensive capital should produce stagnation, but at Berkshire Hathaway it teaches respect for other people’s money, and promotes growth.
Bear Tracks
Alan Greenspan has indeed unplugged the bubble machine, and the bear is consuming tech stocks like they were so many blue berries.
Build It and Money Will Come
In other words build it and money will come. This is the number one rule of Executive Behavior, and it is the main reason that cheap money always leads to poor returns.
Efficient Stock Market
How rational are stock market values: tech stocks in the stratosphere in March, but 80% less in October.
Style Drift
What happens when mutual fund managers chase Performance at the expense of investor suitability rules.
Lunch Money Indicators - Options
Discusses the effect of stock options on the behavior of corporate managers, and how this behavior may differ from managers who actually own a substantial position in the stock of the company.
Identifying Problems
How Higher interest rates and a slowing economy effect tech stocks. And why a little pain is good for the economy.
Small Retail Stocks
A comparison of four retail specialty companies. Abercrombie & Fitch, American Eagle Outfitters, Buckle, and Pacific Sunwear.
Charlie Munger comments
While Warren Buffett is always brilliant, concise, and funny, Charlie manages every year to come up with one or two Charlie Munger comments that I remember the longest.
Big Al and the Bubble Machine
Big Al and the Baseball Bat - (It is time to turn off the bubble machine). Fed policy in the spring of 2000, impact on the stock market, the nation's economy.
Berkshire Hathaway Cheap
Berkshire Hathaway stock comment. This Stock's price offers a compelling value at today's prices. Buy now. This is one decision that will last for Ten years.
Index Funds
Index Funds have outperformed most managed stock funds, and I agree with his contention that the mutual fund industry is in for a very traumatic future.
16 rules for investment success
Simple 16 rules for investment success by John Templeton that will help any investor be pop. These rules doesn't conflict with anything taught by Buffett.
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